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2010年06 期
| 标题 |
| 我国铁路运量波动的季节因素分析(32 卷) |
| 英文标题 |
| Analysis on Seasonal Factors of Railway Traffic Volume Fluctuation in China |
| 摘要 |
| 铁路运量受气候条件、节假日、工农业生产和国民经济发展等因素影响，呈现出趋势性、季节性、随机性的复杂波动特征。通过对我国2002—2009年铁路客货运量月度数据进行分析，得到我国铁路客货运量具有明显的线性趋势和季节特征的结论，选择Holt-Winters模型进行数据拟合，具体 |
| 作者 |
| 新闻作者:桂文林，潘庆年 |
| 关键字 |
