|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2007年05 期
| 标题 |
| 基于灰色马尔可夫链模型的铁路客运量预测研究(29 卷) |
| 英文标题 |
| Study on Forecasting Method of Railway Passenger Volume Based on Gray Markov Chain Model |
| 摘要 |
| 阐述灰色马尔可夫链预测模型原理，根据灰色预测思想和马尔可夫链预测思想，将灰色GM（1，1）预测模型结合马尔可夫链状态转移，能较好地反映铁路客运量的发展规律。通过对我国铁路客运量预测的实证分析，说明灰色马尔可夫链预测模型对于具有一定波动性和随机性的铁路客运量有 |
| 作者 |
| 新闻作者:燕臣颖，董宝田 |
| 关键字 |
